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Aeronautical and Space-Rocket Engineering
Design, construction and manufacturing of flying vehicles
DOI: 10.34759/vst-2021-3-95-112
Аuthors
*, **Moscow Aviation Institute (National Research University), 4, Volokolamskoe shosse, Moscow, А-80, GSP-3, 125993, Russia
*e-mail: 8465836@mail.ru
**e-mail: 8916846583@mail.ru
Abstract
The article deals with the task medium-term forecasting of rational characteristics (imaging hardware spatial resolution, weight and cost) of a prospective spacecraft for remote Earth probing with optoelectronic imaging hardware. It proposes a method for the task solving employing extrapolation methods based on the statistical data on the products prototypes. Forecasting is being performed by extrapolating into the future the regularities revealed in the process of studying characteristics up to the present moment.
For the proposed method realization, the searching algorithm, including such blocks as initial data, extrapolating prediction and a spacecraft characteristics evaluation, was developed, and the results of its technical-and-economic characteristics at the medium-term forecasting are presented. The source data block includes information on the characteristics of the Earth remote probing spacecraft with optoelectronic imaging hardware of various types. Statistical data processing on the characteristic (parameter) under study is being performed in the extrapolating prediction blockIt is assumed herewith that parameter realization is a random function of time (a forecast function).
Characteristics predicting of the Earth remote probing spacecraft is being performed for the following types of optoelectronic imaging hardware: panchromatic range; multispectral visible and near-infrared ranges; combined (panchromatic and multispectral) visible and near-infrared ranges. The article presents the computational results of Earth remote probing spacecraft characteristics being predicted, such as spatial resolution of imaging hardware of various types, weight and cost of the spacecraft creation up to 2030.
Computational results show that the following improvements are forecasted for the spacecraft with panchromatic and combined imaging hardware:
– The spatial resolution improvement up to 0.19–0.22 m with maximum diameter of the Korsch type optical system up to 1.3–1.4 m;
– Weight improvement up to 3000–4000 kg;
– Insufficient cost of creation increase up to 235 million of conventional units.
For the spacecraft with multispectral imaging hardware:
– The spatial resolution improvement up to 3.0–4.0 m;
– Optical system diameter up to 0.25–0.32 m;
– Weight improvement up to 500 kg, and cost of creation increase up to 60 million of conventional units.
Thus, the method proposed in the article and developed design models allow predicting technical-and-economic characteristics of prospective modifications of the Earth remote probing spacecraft for 7–10 years, and ensuring necessary research accuracy.
Keywords:
remote Earth probing, space system, prospective spacecraft, optoelectronic survey instruments, forecasting, spacecraft technical-and economic characteristicsReferences
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