Analysis of expert evaluation methods use for planning ground development test of rocket technology products

Аuthors

Dunaev D. V.

Design Bureau «Yuzhnoye» named after M.K. Yangel, 3, Krivorozhskaya str., Dniepropetrovsk, 49008, Ukraine

e-mail: info@yuzhnoe.com

Abstract

This article presens the analysis of the of expert evaluation methods (EEM) implementation for planning ground development test (GDT) of rocket technology products. To do this, all necessary conditions for experts’ qualitative evaluation were considered and recommended EEM were sel ected. Multilevel EEM implementation is marked herewith, where the upper layer determines the order of experts’ polling — discussion (brainstorming, synectics, commission of experts and court), or questionnaire (Delphi method). While selection of low-level EEM is determined by the specific practical problem. To simplify GDT optimal planning all products are sorted according to qualification status (corresponds to qualification method). Then selection of types, test categories to develop the required operation characteristics and their sequence for each assembly unit is carried out (corresponds to scenario methods or PATTERN, forecast graph). The problem of selection and assortment of the necessary types, categories of tests is just the most complex one during GDT plan elaboration. It is suggested to solve this problem by the selection of the appropriate product-analog (corresponds to Churchman-Akof method) with allowance for its performances, as well as a product (assembly unit) requiring optimization. This will reduce the duration and cost of GDT planning phase.

Further development of the assembly unit optimization plan for those operation characteristics that differ fr om the characteristics of the prototype, types and test categories are determined by any of the recommended EEM (mostly by scenario methods and brainstorming). Thus, as a result of the multi-level application of EEM, it is possible to elaborate an experimental development optimal plan in terms of minimization of material and time resources.

Keywords:

ground development test, expert evaluation method, comprehensive development test programs, space application rocket

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