Markov models to estimate safety performance functioning of complex aircraft systems

Аuthors

Baranov N. A.¹, Vasilyev I. V., Poliansky V. V.^2*, Semenov I. M.^**

1. Zhukovsky Air Force Engineering Academy, 3, Planetnaya str., Moscow, 125190, Russia
2. ,

*e-mail: vitapolk@rambler.ru
**e-mail: s1m_@mail.ru

Abstract

Approaches based on Markov processes to determine the cost of securing functioning of complex aircraft systems on the basis of economic effectiveness indicators and risk. We also consider the model to account for the possibility of identification of dangerous external influences, followed by counteraction in the event of a successful identification.

Keywords:

safety, risk, identification of threats, Markov model, the damage, costs of security, the rate of inflation