Aviation mechanical engineering scientific production enterprise innovative projects risks assessment method

Economics


Аuthors

Protsenko E. V.

Scientific-production enterprise Aerosila, 6, Zhdanov str., Stupino, Moscow region, 142800, Russia

e-mail: lukjanova-ekaterina@rambler.ru

Abstract

The authors have developed a scientific and production enterprise innovative projects risks assessment method.

Difficulties of identifying risks of various types and a problem of their assessment are associated with the fact that Scientific Production Enterprises realize simultaneously a set of projects being at different stages of life cycle.

In this regard, the authors offer the use the “risk portfolio”, which means the overall risk of innovative projects portfolio, which size does not exceed the appetite risk level accepted by the company.

By “risk portfolio” assessment, the authors mean the process of identification and quantitative assessment of innovation projects portfolio realized simultaneously by the enterprise.

The quantitative assessment procedure of risks stipulating the risk portfolio level is based on determining the value composing it by questionnaire survey of experts.

The electronic questionnaire in MS Excel allowing obtain an integrated assessment of a risk event after entering certain data introduced by experts has been developed to assess the risks of innovative projects realized by the scientific and production enterprise.

Thus, after risks levels assessment of the innovative projects realized simultaneously by the enterprise the possibility to determine the size of the risk portfolio becomes possible.

Modeling of innovative projects realized by Scientific Production Enterprise risk portfolio state can be realized by creating a cognitive map.

The method offered by the authors will allow control the size risk portfolio within the risk appetite level accepted by the enterprise.

Keywords:

innovative projects risk assessment, portfolio risk, risk factor, risk management

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